Medpace Holdings Valuation

MEDP Stock  USD 453.77  7.33  1.64%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Medpace Holdings secures a last-minute Real Value of $413.62 per share. The latest price of the firm is $453.77. Our model forecasts the value of Medpace Holdings from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 11.76 B, profit margin of 0.18 %, and Return On Equity of 0.7 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Medpace Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
26.4622
Enterprise Value
11.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
20.8941
Price Sales
5.0077
Forward PE
25.2525
Overvalued
Today
453.77
Please note that Medpace Holdings' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Medpace Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Medpace Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Medpace Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 453.77, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  453.77 Real  413.62 Target  486.92 Hype  433.58 Naive  428.55
The intrinsic value of Medpace Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Medpace Holdings' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
410.83
Downside
413.62
Real Value
499.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Medpace Holdings helps investors to forecast how Medpace stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Medpace Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Medpace Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
3.864.094.54
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
430.79433.58499.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
425.76428.55431.34
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
443.09486.92540.48
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Medpace Holdings' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Medpace Holdings' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Medpace Holdings' closest peers.

Medpace Holdings Cash

521.9 Million

Medpace Revenue by Product

Medpace Holdings Total Value Analysis

Medpace Holdings is now forecasted to have valuation of 11.76 B with market capitalization of 12.67 B, debt of 250.5 M, and cash on hands of 31.01 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Medpace Holdings fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
11.76 B
12.67 B
250.5 M
31.01 M

Medpace Holdings Investor Information

About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.14. Medpace Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.27. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Medpace Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Medpace Holdings is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.130.2114
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities748.9 M713.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income561.7 M534.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Medpace Holdings Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Medpace Holdings has an asset utilization ratio of 128.08 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $1.28 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Medpace Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Medpace Holdings Profitability Analysis

Based on Medpace Holdings' profitability indicators, Medpace Holdings is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Medpace Holdings' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2014-03-31
Previous Quarter
111.1 M
Current Value
135.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
38.9 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Medpace Holdings' Gross Profit is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/21/2026, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.23, while Operating Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.13.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.390.3006
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.130.2114
Way Down
Very volatile
For Medpace Holdings profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Medpace Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Medpace Holdings utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Medpace Holdings's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Medpace Holdings over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Medpace Holdings Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Medpace Holdings is estimated to be 4.0922 with future projections ranging from a low of 3.86 to a high of 4.54. Medpace Holdings' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 15.27. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Medpace Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Medpace Holdings is projected to generate 4.0922 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Medpace Holdings earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Medpace Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Medpace Holdings' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Medpace Holdings, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Medpace Holdings Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Medpace Holdings' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Medpace Holdings is estimated to be 4.0922 with the future projection ranging from a low of 3.86 to a high of 4.54. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Medpace Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
3.86
Lowest
Expected EPS
4.0922
4.54
Highest

Medpace Holdings Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Medpace Holdings' value are higher than the current market price of the Medpace Holdings stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Medpace Holdings is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Medpace Holdings' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1385.28%
0.0
4.0922
15.27

Medpace Holdings Ownership Allocation

Medpace Holdings maintains a total of 28.38 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Medpace Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Medpace Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Medpace Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Medpace Holdings as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost one million five hundred eighty-nine thousand three hundred fifty-two invesors are currently shorting Medpace Holdings expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Medpace Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.53 B. Net Income was 451.12 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.8 B.

About Medpace Holdings Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Medpace Holdings' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Medpace Holdings based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Medpace Holdings. We calculate exposure to Medpace Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Medpace Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit760.6 M798.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.21  0.23 
Operating Profit Margin 0.21  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.39 

Medpace Holdings Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Medpace Holdings does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.269
Forward Price Earnings25.2525

Medpace Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

Medpace Holdings' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Medpace Holdings' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Medpace Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Medpace Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Medpace Holdings' worth.

Additional Tools for Medpace Stock Analysis

When running Medpace Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Medpace Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medpace Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Medpace Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medpace Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medpace Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medpace Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.